This is a designed demonstration of the framework, not a finished data product. The choices it embeds are deliberate: eight criteria, native units rather than normalised scores, state paired with trajectory, and a source, a vintage and a licence beside every value. The points below are the operating commitments behind the demonstration. The rules they apply are written out, each with a test, in the group's FRAMEWORK document (rules F-1 to F-60).
Why eight criteria, and what sits outside them.
The group's starting inventory is Askja's twelve metrics. The demonstration holds the eight that reduce to a sourced number in a native unit at regional scale, each with a threshold the viewer can set: climate trajectory, water stress, soil organic carbon, forest-cover trajectory, solar-energy potential, conflict proximity, regenerative-network density and population density. They share the one property that makes them filterable: each is a sourced number in a native unit. Each criterion keeps the number of its metric in Askja's set, printed in the grid below; the numbers identify metrics and say nothing about importance. Each axis can end a project on its own, which is why none is folded into another.
Three further things sit beside the eight sliders and are not numbers on a scale. First, seven per-jurisdiction layers (legal ownership, land cost, hospital access, demographic trajectory, soil contamination, water source control and climate buffering) appear on every region page as qualitative records, each with its source, its confidence and its gaps. Second, four categorical filters on the home page read those records: Foreign ownership, Affordability, Climate buffering and Legal direction. They filter the way the sliders do: a region either matches the option chosen or it does not, and nothing is added up. Third, every region carries a Land standing entry and a legal pathway, described under ethics below, which are never scored and never filtered.
Legal and cost questions come first in practice: before soil or climate matter, a reader has to know who may buy, what may be built and what the land costs, and the region pages carry those records for that reason. That is an observation about how arriving works. It is not a ranking: the framework assigns no priority between criteria, and every slider and filter is independent of the others. A categorical fact such as who may buy land in a given country is not a point on a scale, and forcing it onto a slider would be the false quantification the framework refuses.
Other criteria were considered and are out, for stated reasons. Cultural and lifestyle fit is out because the group's Decision 6 puts subjective dimensions outside V1: they do not live in datasets. Two things people often fold into fit are carried elsewhere on purpose. Language and the manner of entry are written into each region's Land standing entry as sourced prose (the Galway Gaeltacht entry, for instance, names the Irish-language conditions of the county plan). A composite coherence score is out under the no-composite rule below. The pruning principle is unchanged: keep as a filter only what reduces to a checkable number, and hold everything else as sourced prose.
Each criterion is measured in its own native unit, drawn from a named public dataset. The grid below is generated from the criteria the dashboard actually holds: what each one measures, the unit it is reported in, its window, its source and licence, and how its trajectory is read. Where a criterion has no trajectory, the grid says so.
i
Climate trajectory
Mean annual air temperature, 2041–2060 (SSP2-4.5, WorldClim CMIP6 model ensemble). Reported in °C, window 2041–2060.
Source: WorldClim 2.1 CMIP6 downscaled (17-model ensemble, SSP2-4.5) · licence: WorldClim terms: free for academic and other non-commercial use; redistribution or commercial use needs prior permission · native unit: 2.5 arc-minute grid (~4 km).
Scenario SSP2-4.5, mean of 17 climate models. Water stress uses a different scenario family (Aqueduct business-as-usual, SSP3-7.0), so the two do not describe one future. Trajectory: Direction = the 2041–2060 ensemble mean minus WorldClim 1970–2000 over the same footprint cells; steady when the change is under 0.2 °C.
Starter-set metric number 2 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
ii
Water stress
Water withdrawals as a share of available supply, 2050 business-as-usual (WRI Aqueduct 4.0). Reported in ratio, window 2050 (30-year period centred on 2050).
Source: WRI Aqueduct 4.0 (bau50_ws_x_r) · licence: CC BY 4.0 · native unit: HydroBASINS level 6 sub-basins, area-weighted over the footprint.
Aqueduct “business-as-usual” is scenario SSP3-7.0, a different scenario family from the SSP2-4.5 used for climate, so the two cannot be read on one pathway. Aqueduct 4.0 technical note: “SSP3-7.0 represents a “business as usual” scenario with temperatures increasing by 2.8°C to 4.6°C by 2100.” and the projections use “three future scenarios (business-as-usual SSP 3 RCP 7.0, optimistic SSP 1 RCP 2.6, and pessimistic SSP 5 RCP 8.5)”, each centred on 2030, 2050 and 2080. Trajectory: Direction = the Aqueduct 2050 business-as-usual ratio minus the Aqueduct baseline ratio (1979–2019) over the same basins; steady when the change is under 0.02.
Starter-set metric number 4 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
iii
Soil organic carbon
Soil organic carbon, topsoil 0–30 cm (SoilGrids 2.0, depth-weighted). Reported in g/kg, window 1960–2020 (62% of the profiles behind the map; 34% undated).
Source: SoilGrids 2.0 (ISRIC) · licence: CC BY 4.0 · native unit: 250 m raster (0–5, 5–15 and 15–30 cm layers weighted 5/10/15).
Observed and modelled, not a scenario: one global 2020 release, no regional trend. Trajectory: none. No open regional trend dataset exists for soil organic carbon, so no direction is shown.
Starter-set metric number 5 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
iv
Forest cover trajectory
Net tree-cover change per decade (Hansen: gain 2000–2012 minus gross loss 2001–2023, % of year-2000 canopy). Reported in %/decade, window 2001–2023.
Source: Hansen Global Forest Change v1.11 · licence: CC BY 4.0 · native unit: 30 m raster, aggregated over the footprint.
Observed 2001–2023; gain is recorded only for 2000–2012. Trajectory: Direction = annual gross loss 2013–2023 versus 2001–2012, as a share of year-2000 canopy; steady when the two differ by under 10 percent.
Starter-set metric number 11 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
v
Solar PV potential
Long-term average photovoltaic output (PVOUT, kWh per kWp per year). Reported in kWh/kWp/yr, window long-term average; record start 1994, 1999 or 2007 by satellite region, to 2025.
Source: Global Solar Atlas 2.0 (World Bank Group / ESMAP / Solargis) · licence: CC BY 4.0, with a mandatory addition: disputes go to WIPO mediation and then UNCITRAL arbitration · native unit: 30 arc-second grid (~1 km), sampled on a ~6.5 km point grid inside the footprint.
A long-term average, not a scenario. Trajectory: none. The product is a long-term average and carries no regional trend.
Starter-set metric number 7 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
vi
Conflict proximity
Fatal political-violence events 2019–2024 within 200 km of the marker (UCDP GED v25.1). Reported in events, window 2019–2024.
Source: UCDP GED v25.1 · licence: CC BY 4.0 · native unit: event points within 200 km of the marker.
Observed 2019–2024, not a scenario. Trajectory: Direction = events 2019–2024 versus 2013–2018; steady when the counts are equal.
Starter-set metric number 1 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
vii
Regenerative network density
Web-verifiable intentional communities and regenerative projects within 100 km of the marker (Living Atlas wave-1 baseline; a floor, not a census). Reported in sites, window wave 1, frozen 2026-07-24.
Source: Living Atlas Baseline Census, wave 1 (Regen Community Tools) · licence: licence not confirmed · native unit: point locations within 100 km of the marker.
A frozen baseline (2026-07-24), not a scenario. Trajectory: None yet: a single baseline wave; wave 2 is planned and will give the first measured change.
Starter-set metric number 3 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
viii
Population density
Persons per km², GHS-POP R2023A epoch 2020, mean over the region footprint. Reported in p/km², window epoch 2020 (GHSL modelled estimate).
Source: JRC GHSL GHS-POP R2023A · licence: CC BY 4.0 · native unit: 1 km raster, footprint mean.
Epoch 2020 is the state; 2030 is a GHSL projection used only for the direction. Trajectory: Direction = GHSL epoch 2020 to the 2030 projection; steady when it changes by under 1 percent.
Starter-set metric number 9 (Askja's numbering, not an order of importance).
State paired with trajectory.
A current value tells the practitioner what a region is now; a trajectory tells them where it is heading. The framework holds the two side by side rather than folding one into the other. Every cell carries a state and, where the data allow one, a trajectory: a direction (rising, falling or steady), the size of the change, and the rule that produced it. Five criteria carry a direction (climate trajectory, water stress, forest cover trajectory, conflict proximity and population density). Three carry a state only (soil organic carbon, solar PV potential and regenerative network density), and the grid says why: there is no open regional trend dataset for soil carbon, the solar product is a long-term average, and the network count is a single baseline wave. Where a direction is a projection, the cell says so and names the scenario (F-6).
Climate is the case where state and trajectory sit closest. The value on the dashboard is not today's weather but the mid-century projection: the 2041–2060 mean annual air temperature from the 17-model WorldClim CMIP6 ensemble under SSP2-4.5, averaged over the region's footprint. Alentejo reads 18.3°C, West Cork and Connemara 11.1°C and Transylvania 9.3°C, each a projected state that already encodes the warming a fifty-year project is planning into. The trajectory field gives the change against WorldClim's 1970–2000 over the same cells: 2°C, 1.3°C and 3°C.
Water stress is a ratio, and the page says what kind. WRI's Aqueduct 4.0 technical note defines baseline water stress as the ratio of total water demand to available renewable surface and groundwater supplies, calculated for each HydroBASINS level-6 sub-basin, and converts the raw ratio to risk categories and to a 0–5 score. The dashboard shows the raw ratio for the 2050 business-as-usual scenario (SSP3-7.0), area-weighted over the sub-basins of the footprint, with WRI's own class names (low under 0.1 up to extremely high above 0.8). It is not a rescaled score of the framework's own, and it passes 1 where demand exceeds supply: Alentejo reads 1.505, Transylvania 0.415 and Connemara 0.011. The cell stores the 2050 value only. The baseline ratio (1979–2019) is not stored as a second value; the trajectory field stores the change from it, and the two scenario families (climate on SSP2-4.5, water on SSP3-7.0) are labelled as different futures.
Forest cover is the pure-trend case, where the number is the trajectory. Hansen Global Forest Change tracks tree cover at 30-metre resolution, and the framework reads it as net change per decade: gain recorded for 2000–2012 minus gross loss for 2001–2023, as a share of the year-2000 canopy. Alentejo reads −11.2% per decade, West Cork and Connemara −3.2% and Transylvania −1.5%. Under this definition every footprint on the slate reads below zero, because Hansen records gain only to 2012, counts harvest and fire as loss and does not count regrowth after 2012; the number says that canopy was lost and cannot say why. It is a trajectory to read with land-use history, not a verdict on a forest.
No composite scoring.
One of the working group's non-negotiables is that the framework never produces a single composite score across criteria (F-1, F-2). A composite requires coefficients: how much rainfall offsets a degree of warming, how much cheap land offsets a thin civil-society stack. Once those coefficients live inside the framework, the framework is making the decision instead of the practitioner. Composites also let a region with one fatal flaw look acceptable because compensating values average it away, which is exactly the failure mode for fifty-year decisions where no flaw is averageable. Alentejo makes the point concretely: its solar resource reads 1,643 kWh/kWp/yr (Global Solar Atlas, long-term average) while its 2050 water-stress ratio reads 1.505. A composite would let the sun pull the water problem back toward the middle of a range, yet a settlement there has to close its water budget whatever the sun gives it. Averaging buries the one number that matters. The alternative is filtering (F-3): each criterion has a threshold the viewer sets, regions within every threshold stay visible and regions outside any one threshold dim. The shape of the result is a smaller set, never a ranked list.
Native units throughout.
Temperature stays in degrees Celsius, soil organic carbon in g/kg, water stress as WRI's ratio, forest change in percent per decade, solar output in kWh/kWp/yr, conflict as an event count and population as persons per km². Land prices are not a criterion: they sit in the land-cost record of each region page, in the currency of the source and with its year. The framework refuses to reshape every variable onto one normalised grid, because reshaping costs information (F-4). The modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP), familiar to anyone who has worked with spatial data, has two parts: the scale effect, where statistics change as the unit of aggregation changes, and the zoning effect, where they change as the boundaries shift. Keeping each variable in its native unit, at the scale where it makes sense, is the discipline the framework chose over visual neatness.
In practice each criterion is read at the resolution its source actually resolves, from a 30 m forest raster to level-6 river sub-basins (the grid above gives each native unit). Reshaping them all onto one universal grid, an H3 hexagon say, would either blur the 30 m forest signal or invent 30 m detail for a climate model that never produced it, and either way manufacture a precision the data does not hold. The zoning effect bites just as hard. Alentejo's footprint mean for water stress hides a spread: its sub-basins run from 0.14 to 2.44, which is why the cell records the range in its label. The aggregation scale is not a cosmetic choice; it changes the number the practitioner reads.
Source, vintage and licence for every value.
1975200020252050207521002125
Climate trajectory2041–2060 · projection
Water stress2050 (30-year period centred on 2050) · projection
Soil organic carbon1960–2020 (62% of the profiles behind the map; 34% undated)
Forest cover trajectory2001–2023
Solar PV potentiallong-term average; record start 1994, 1999 or 2007 by satellite region, to 2025
Conflict proximity2019–2024
Regenerative network densitywave 1, frozen 2026-07-24
Population densityepoch 2020 (GHSL modelled estimate)
Observed or measuredProjectionThe 50 to 100 year horizonWindows are the vintage of each criterion’s metric; individual cells vary and are dated where they differ.
Six of eight criteria describe the past or the present. The furthest any of them looks is 2060, a projection. The tool reads what it can, and says plainly where it cannot see.
Every value the framework presents carries three things. A source, a named public dataset. A vintage, the year or scenario the value represents: "2041–2060, SSP2-4.5" for a climate projection, "2050 business-as-usual" for water stress, "2001–2023" for a forest trend. And a licence, the terms under which the data may be reused. The licence is stated per source, and per value only where a cell cites a source of its own; the source list below records, for each source, the page that states its licence. Where the provider's page states none, or could not be opened, the entry reads "licence not confirmed", and a licence is never inferred from a dataset's reputation. Most of the numerical backbone is CC BY 4.0. WorldClim is free for non-commercial use only. Two map layers are non-commercial (GEM seismic hazard and EOxCloudless imagery) and the Esri layers are under Esri's licence, so a commercial use would need a licence or a swap; the group has no commercial product (F-5).
Two levels of sourcing are worth telling apart. The criterion-level source is the dataset named in the grid above. The cell-level source is what a single value cites. In the current data the two are the same for every cell: each of the eight criteria is computed for every region from one dataset, over a footprint recorded for that region (an administrative polygon, a bounding box or a disc, whichever the cell names), by scripts the group runs by hand. The regional and national sources a reader will meet elsewhere, statutes, planning plans and statistical offices, back the Land standing, legal-pathway and land-cost records, and each is listed under the criterion or layer it serves.
On a fifty-to-hundred-year decision, vintage and licence are not bureaucratic footnotes, they are the point. A climate projection is a model run that will be re-run: newer ensembles, revised pathways and better downscaling will move the numbers, and a value stamped "2041–2060, SSP2-4.5, WorldClim CMIP6" tells a community exactly which run to re-check it against. The group keeps per-region research notes; the sources they cite are listed here. No value without a source, no source without a vintage, no claim that cannot be re-checked: where two sources disagree the cell says so, and where a value could not be reproduced it is left as a stated gap rather than a number. Transparency is what lets a place that will outlive this dataset check it for itself.
The 23 map layers, and the gaps not shipped.
The interactive map carries 23 toggleable layers, grouped into six themes. Seventeen are live public services, each with its own attribution, read in the visitor's browser, so the provider can change or withdraw them. Six are processed files the site serves itself. WorldClim is a criterion source, not a map layer: the map draws no temperature layer from it.
- Climate & water: Precipitation — live service; Water stress 2050 — processed file; Water depletion 2050 — processed file; Climate zones 1991-2020 (Köppen-Geiger) — processed file; Climate zones 2041-2070 (Köppen-Geiger, SSP2-4.5) — processed file.
- Land & soil: Forest loss — live service; Soil organic carbon — live service; Land cover (10m) — live service; Land cover, ESA WorldCover 2021 (10 m) — live service.
- Energy: Solar PV potential — live service.
- Hazards: Coastal flood / SLR — live service; River flood depth, 1-in-50-year (1960-1999) — live service; River flood depth, 2050 (SSP2/RCP4.5) — live service; River flood depth, 2050 (SSP3/RCP8.5) — live service; Seismic hazard — live service.
- People & access: Population density — live service; Travel time to cities — live service; Conflict density — processed file; Ecovillage sites — processed file.
- Terrain & imagery: Terrain relief — live service; Topographic map — live service; Recent satellite — live service; Night lights — live service.
What the map does not ship is as honest as what it does. Layers that were probed and did not hold up are retired and recorded in the layer registry with the reason: a drought indicator that covers Europe only, surface-temperature layers whose units could not be confirmed, a flood layer that rendered as a flat colour, and an aridity index that covers Australia only. Aridity is carried by the Köppen climate-zone layers instead. Rather than fake a layer with a proxy dressed up as the real thing, the map leaves it out and says so.
What this demonstration is, and is not
A designed demonstration of the framework, not a finished data product. Values are sourced and dated; the group has not yet ratified the slate or the V1 proposal.
To be precise about the seam. V1, as the working documents define it, is data ingestion: raw and processed layers in native units, with source, vintage and licence stamped on every dataset, and no querying or scoring. The group has a V1 shipping proposal that awaits its ratification. This site is a separate thing beside that work. Its values are computed once, as a dated snapshot, from the named datasets over each region's recorded footprint; they are not the output of a live ingestion pipeline, there is no scheduled refresh, and there is no parcel-level resolution. The threshold sliders and the categorical filters demonstrate what filtering over sourced values looks like; they are not part of V1. V2, meaning automated querying, weights and red-line filtering, has not started, and any form of composite scoring is a deliberately deferred design question (see the tensions below). There are no user accounts and no collaboration features. Read as a demonstration, this page is honest; read as the finished tool, it would overclaim.